Mortgage Rates For February 2019

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February 2019 Mortgage Rates

Below is a recap of the daily mortgage rates for each day in the month of February 2019. Mortgage rates in February are starting out near their one year lows. The strong BLS Employment and ISM Manufacturing report on January 31st, 2019 prevented mortgage rates from moving to new one year lows.

February 2019 Mortgage Rate Average:

  • The average 30 year fixed mortgage rate for February 2019 has been below 4.375%
  • The average 20 year fixed mortgage rate for February 2019 has been below 4.125%
  • The average 15 year fixed mortgage rate for February 2019 has been below 3.75%

    *the mortgage rate averages are averages seen with JB Mortgage Capital, Inc.; these are not national averages.

Important Events That Might Impact Mortgage Rates In February:

  • The Economy: If the economy improves that might push mortgage rates higher
  • Government Shutdown: Starting off in February the shutdown was on hold and the government reopened temporarily. However the strong Employment report and ISM report might give the all clear for another shutdown as both sides dig in for a long fight.
  • Trade tensions with China: The recent arrest of a Chinese executive is not helping solve the trade issues between the U.S. and China. 
  • Inflation: Overall inflation has been easing and if the trend continues talk of deflation might start to be a concern. That would be good for mortgage rates.
  • Housing: Most of the housing data was poor in January, will that continue in February?
We expand on all five areas later in the article.
 
Mortgage rates in February will be watched closely since we’ve seen mortgage rates improve dramatically the previous two months. Be sure to follow all the updates on our Current Mortgage Rates page.

 

California Mortgage Rates

FHA Mortgage Rates

February 2019 Mortgage Rates Calendar

Tan and Yellow Home
02-01-2019
Home with red roof
02-04-2019
Modern Red Home
02-05-2019
Brown and Black Home
02-06-2019
Dark Brown Home
02-07-2019
Orange Home
02-08-2019
Nice Red Home
02-11-2019
Brown Ranch Home
02-12-2019
Tall Orange Home
02-13-2019
Tall Brown Home With Red Roof
02-14-2019

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Making sure we provide industry low mortgage rates is a focal point at JB Mortgage Capital, Inc. We understand the importance of saving money. From fixed rate mortgages to adjustable rate mortgages we offer low rates at great terms.

February 2019 Mortgage Rates Calendar – Continued

Brown and Black Home
02-15-2019
Simple Home
02-18-2019
Modern Red Home
02-19-2019
Blue and Orange Home
02-20-2019
Tan and Yellow Home
02-21-2019
Tall Orange Home
02-22-2019
Dark Brown Home
02-25-2019
Tall Red Home
02-26-2019
Brown Ranch Home
02-27-2019
Simple White and Red Home
02-28-2019
Solar Panel Home
Dark Blue Home
Tall Brown Home With Red Roof
Nice Red Home
Brown Home With Trees

February 2019 Mortgage Rate Economic Calendar

The below economic reports have the potential to impact the mortgage rates during the month of February. There are several sources from which we obtain information and one of the best is Mortgage News Daily.
 
  • February 01: BLS Employment Report, ISM Manufacturing PMI and New Home Sales and Consumer Sentiment. 
  • February 4: ISM-New York Index, Factory Ex-Transport
  • February 5: International Trade, and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
  • February 6: Weekly Mortgage Index, Refinance Index and Purchase Index. There is also an important 10y Note Auction (important).
  • February 7: Weekly Unemployment claims (something to watch as last week they came in higher than normal), and Consumer Credit
  • February 8: Wholesale Sales and Inventories
  • February 13: Core CPI year/year and monthly
  • February 14: Core Producer Prices
  • February 15: Export Prices, Import Prices, 5yr Inflation Outlook, 1yr Inflation Outlook
  • February 16: Housing Starts
  • February 21: Existing Home Sales
  • February 21: Federal Open Market Committee Minutes (FOMC = The Fed)
  • February 28: Gross Domestic Product
Some reports have a bigger impact than others. Some reports are not listed (Retail Sales, Durable Goods etc) because of the Government Shutdown the date of their release is TBD. Once we have the information we will certainly update the calendar. Also we’ll be updating the calendar with regional Fed reports as they come in. The most important reports that usually have an affect on mortgage rates are:
 
This is not to say that the other reports can’t have a big impact on mortgage rates however the above are the reports that usually have the biggest impact.

Anticipated Mortgage Volume in 2019 (purchase)

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Important Things To Remember When Obtaining A New Mortgage

Brown Home With TreesHere are important things that you should remember when obtaining a new mortgage in February 2019. For the most part this applies to both refinance applications and purchase applications:

  • Only work with reputable mortgage companies; avoid companies that have a low Better Business  Bureau rating. We have an A+ rating with the Better Business Bureau.
  • Mortgage rates change daily; sometimes multiple times a day. When you apply for a mortgage ask when the interest rate will be locked. Some companies automatically lock at application and there are even some that don’t lock until a few days before closing. At JB Mortgage Capital, Inc. we let the client chose when to lock.
  • Ask questions and if your Loan Officer avoids answering them you might want to find a new mortgage company to work with.

JB Mortgage Capital, Inc.

If you are looking to purchase a home or refinance a current mortgage please be sure to contact us for a no-cost/no-obligation quote. Loan Officer Kevin O’Connor has over 14 years of experience in the mortgage industry and will take the time to find out how we can best meet your mortgage needs. We offer a wide variety of loan programs including those with less than perfect credit and/or a small down payment. We have an A+ rating with the Better Business Bureau, AAA rating with the Business Consumers Alliance, Five Star rating on Zillow and a Five Star rating on Mortgage101.com.

To request a quote please complete the form below; and the good news is that only one person will contact you – just one. Other mortgage companies may sell your information however that is not something that happens at JB Mortgage Capital, Inc. Another option is to call us directly at 1-800-550-5538.

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At JB Mortgage Capital, Inc. we offer industry low mortgage rates, personal one-on-one attention from loan application to closing and we've embraces the latest technology to ensure your mortgage closes fast and on time. We offer great loan programs for first time home buyers all the way to seasoned investors.

Events That May Effect Mortgage Rates In February Cont’d

The Economy:

At the end of the day the most important thing for mortgage rates is the economy. Q2 2018 was a huge bump up from previous quarters however Q3 2018 was nearly a point lower and estimates for Q4 2018 GDP are around 2.5% (almost 2 points lower). The tax cuts gave an initial boost to the economy however that boost seems to be fading as we move into 2019. A weaker economy is an initial positive for mortgage rates because a slowing economy generally means lower inflation – and that’s the important part for mortgage rates.

 

Quarterly GDP Growth

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

Government Shutdown: 

The Government Shutdown is on hold for now but it’s likely to happen again in February. The shutdown was a costly event for the economy and we’re still waiting on all the data to come in to fully understand how it impacted the economy. According to early Congressional Budget Office estimates the shutdown cost the economy by delaying $18 billion in federal spending and it will reduce GDP estimates by 0.4.

Trade Tensions With China:

Talks with China have not gone well in recent months and it does not look like things will get better in February. Who is winning the trade war? Hard to say since both sides are taking a hit. China’s economy is slowing significantly faster than the U.S. economy however our trade deficit with China is ballooning and get worse by the month. GDP growth in China is at the slowest pace in nearly 30 years. 2018 GDP growth in China was 6.50%.

Inflation:

Mortgage rates hate inflation; it’s perhaps one of the most important things to watch. There was a big inflation scare in September – October 2018 which pushed mortgage rates to eight year highs however overall inflation for 2018 was well contained and appears to be declining. Core inflation has a big influence on the Fed and what the do. The core inflation rate for the previous five years:

  • 2014 = 0.8%
  • 2015 = 0.7%
  • 2016 = 2.1%
  • 2017 = 2.1%
  • 2018 = 1.9%

It will be interesting to see what happens in 2019. The current direction is lower however that can easily change; especially if oil and wages move higher. Q1 2019 GDP estimates will probably be lower than Q4 2018 and most analyst will blame the shutdown as a big cause for the decline.

Housing:

It’s been a rough couple of months for Housing. In the mortgage industry we started seeing a shift in the summer of 2018. In California it appeared that properties that would “normally” receive 4-6 offers were starting to receive 2-3 offers and by Fall 2018 that dropped to 1-2 offers. As we moved into November it seemed like purchases came to halt as inventory started to move up. 

Here is what we believe caused the slow down in housing:

  • The economy – specifically wages are not growing fast enough with the pace of home values.
  • Interest rates – crossing over to a 5% plus 30 year fixed was a bit too much for homeowners.
  • Inventory – there has been an inventory issue for years now and in 2018 in that problem got worse.

If housing continues to decline in February that could be a positive for mortgage rates and a concern for economic growth.

 

We hope you’ve enjoyed reading about February 2019 mortgage rates and what may impact mortgage rates moving forward. We hope you’ve found our information valuable and if you have any suggestions or request please let us know.